Listen now (51 mins) | Yascha Mounk and Roya Hakakian discuss whether the protesters might, somehow, manage to win.
I have nothing good to say about the regime in Tehran. However, I rather doubt the regime will fall. The worst regime of the 20th century was the Khmer Rouge. Did a domestic revolt bring them down? No. It was the NVA (North Vietnamese Army). Online, I have found predictions that Covid-19 will bring down the government in North Korea. The NK government is still around (sadly).
With Ukraine, as we've seen, America knows what it's doing to help effectively. Given our record in Iran's part of the world, it's legitimate to have some doubts about our ability to get it right.
For those of us trying to follow the situation in Iran, we have a basic understanding of the past and we are beginning to understand the present, but we cannot yet picture a more hopeful, less repressive, future. If the regime is incapable of change, what is the alternative and how do the people of Iran get there? Explain that to the world.