There is another big difference between Clinton and Newsom.
Clinton was both genuinely brilliant (on a short list with folks like Jefferson and Madison as arguably our smartest president) and had incredible personal magnetism. Newsom just isn't i that league.
Great post. Can Newsom win in 2028? By a slim margin, probably yes. But that would be the bigger problem because that's not what America needs. By 2028 things are going to be in shambles and America will be desperate for a unifier. And that's where a Shapiro or a Whitmer could come in.
Thanks for the provocative perspective. You make some good points that I hadn't considered. I agree that whomever the D nominee is, they will have to appeal to at least moderate Rs in the electorate to be elected.
Governor Abigail Spanberger of Virginia might not be able to win the '28 Democratic campaign, should she decide to run in it, but she would be a stronger national Democratic candidate against Vance.
She has gone much farther left in office than she appeared to be in the campaign, or than the somewhat moderate image she presented in Congress. Moderate voters will not be inclined to trust her based on her recent record.
Clinton ran in a much more conservative time and he only won against Bush because Perot split the vote. He governed as a liberal after that but he also had to make deals with the business community and free trade policy like NAFTA. Newsom is a liberal by nature but is still going to have to make some concessions to the right wing (and I think he is in his podcasts anyway) . He clearly needs to appeal to independent voters that feel dissatisfied with Trump and there is a lot to run on! But I almost sense that it would be ideal for a democrat to run based in a purple state like Pennsylvania, Michigan or even Georgia. Shapiro, Whitmer or Warnock or Ossoff would be some good candidates. The Silver Bulletin has an interesting article about how candidates can outperform in elections and even Nate Silver does not think that Newsom is super impressive!
Given that Clinton was a serial liar and a philanderer, as well as somebody who would make a point of going to watch an execution just to gain some votes, I'm not sure anybody should be trying to emulate him.
So as one would expect from an American Enterprise Institute writer, the big problem is Newsome is not a moderate Republican. Got it.
Haha 😆
There is another big difference between Clinton and Newsom.
Clinton was both genuinely brilliant (on a short list with folks like Jefferson and Madison as arguably our smartest president) and had incredible personal magnetism. Newsom just isn't i that league.
Great post. Can Newsom win in 2028? By a slim margin, probably yes. But that would be the bigger problem because that's not what America needs. By 2028 things are going to be in shambles and America will be desperate for a unifier. And that's where a Shapiro or a Whitmer could come in.
Thanks for the provocative perspective. You make some good points that I hadn't considered. I agree that whomever the D nominee is, they will have to appeal to at least moderate Rs in the electorate to be elected.
Governor Abigail Spanberger of Virginia might not be able to win the '28 Democratic campaign, should she decide to run in it, but she would be a stronger national Democratic candidate against Vance.
She has gone much farther left in office than she appeared to be in the campaign, or than the somewhat moderate image she presented in Congress. Moderate voters will not be inclined to trust her based on her recent record.
Darn. I had my hopes up.
I guess I’m not sufficiently moderate to judge.
Clinton ran in a much more conservative time and he only won against Bush because Perot split the vote. He governed as a liberal after that but he also had to make deals with the business community and free trade policy like NAFTA. Newsom is a liberal by nature but is still going to have to make some concessions to the right wing (and I think he is in his podcasts anyway) . He clearly needs to appeal to independent voters that feel dissatisfied with Trump and there is a lot to run on! But I almost sense that it would be ideal for a democrat to run based in a purple state like Pennsylvania, Michigan or even Georgia. Shapiro, Whitmer or Warnock or Ossoff would be some good candidates. The Silver Bulletin has an interesting article about how candidates can outperform in elections and even Nate Silver does not think that Newsom is super impressive!
All the evidence suggests that Clinton would have won easily even had Perot not run.
https://split-ticket.org/2023/04/01/examining-ross-perots-impact-on-the-1992-presidential-election/
Given that Clinton was a serial liar and a philanderer, as well as somebody who would make a point of going to watch an execution just to gain some votes, I'm not sure anybody should be trying to emulate him.